Wake Forest vs Virginia 10/20/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Wake Forest winning 42% of simulations, and Virginia 58% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Wake Forest commits fewer turnovers in 57% of simulations and they go on to win 51% when they take care of the ball. Virginia wins 75% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Joshua Harris is averaging 83 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (34% chance) then he helps his team win 53%. Kevin Parks is averaging 71 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (30% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is VA -4.5

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